交易系统之龙书第五版出来了

Discussion in 'Philosophy and Strategy' started by badhot, Mar 2, 2013.

  1. 至少说了两个问题:
    1. 由你的前半段推断,你说指的专业的量化资料“一些学术专著和论文集”是针对不同的教育背景的,是这样吗? 如果是,请问能否针对您熟悉或者所在的专业背景,给出几篇?
    2. 后半段,“各领域中的经典教材和最新顶尖研究都可以读一下”,能否说出几个(相对Trading Systems and Methods来说,更为专业的)?

    谢谢!
     
  2. 建议你从Table of Contents里找关键字,查相关论文 :D

    Preface to the Fifth Edition xv

    CHAPTER 1 Introduction 1

    The Expanding Role of Technical Analysis 1

    Convergence of Trading Styles in Stocks and Futures 2

    A Line in the Sand between Fundamentals and Technical Analysis 4

    Professional and Amateur 5

    Random Walk 6

    Deciding on a Trading Style 8

    Measuring Noise 10

    Maturing Markets and Globalization 14

    Background Material 16

    Research Guidelines 18

    Objectives of This Book 19

    Profile of a Trading System 20

    A Word about the Notation Used in This Book 23

    And Finally . . . 23

    CHAPTER 2 Basic Concepts and Calculations 25

    About Data and Averaging 26

    On Average 30

    Price Distribution 33

    Moments of the Distribution: Variance, Skewness, and Kurtosis 37

    Standardizing Risk and Return 48

    The Index 54

    Standard Measurements of Performance 58

    Probability 59

    Supply and Demand 66

    CHAPTER 3 Charting 79

    Finding Consistent Patterns 80

    What Causes the Major Price Moves and Trends? 82

    The Bar Chart and Its Interpretation by Charles Dow 83

    Chart Formations 92

    Trendlines 94

    One-Day Patterns 102

    Continuation Patterns 113

    Basic Concepts in Chart Trading 117

    Accumulation and Distribution—Bottoms and Tops 118

    Episodic Patterns 132

    Price Objectives for Bar Charting 133

    Implied Strategies in Candlestick Charts 139

    Practical Use of the Bar Chart 144

    Evolution in Price Patterns 148

    CHAPTER 4 Charting Systems and Techniques 151

    Dunnigan and the Thrust Method 152

    Nofri’s Congestion-Phase System 155

    Outside Days with an Outside Close 157

    Inside Days 158

    Pivot Points 158

    Action and Reaction 159

    Channel Breakout 167

    Moving Channels 170

    Commodity Channel Index 171

    Wyckoff’s Combined Techniques 172

    Complex Patterns 173

    A Study of Charting Patterns 176

    Bulkowski’s Chart Pattern Rankings 178

    CHAPTER 5 Event-Driven Trends 181

    Swing Trading 182

    Constructing a Swing Chart Using a Swing Filter 184

    Point-and-Figure Charting 195

    The N-Day Breakout 222

    CHAPTER 6 Regression Analysis 235

    Components of a Time Series 235

    Characteristics of the Price Data 236

    Linear Regression 238

    Linear Correlation 248

    Nonlinear Approximations for Two Variables 252

    Transforming Nonlinear to Linear 256

    Evaluation of Two-Variable Techniques 257

    Multivariate Approximations 259

    ARIMA 267

    Basic Trading Signals Using a Linear Regression Model 273

    Measuring Market Strength 276

    CHAPTER 7 Time-Based Trend Calculations 279

    Forecasting and Following 279

    Price Change over Time 284

    The Moving Average 284

    Geometric Moving Average 292

    Accumulative Average 293

    Reset Accumulative Average 293

    Drop-Off Effect 293

    Exponential Smoothing 293

    Plotting Lags and Leads 307

    CHAPTER 8 Trend Systems 309

    Why Trend Systems Work 309

    Basic Buy and Sell Signals 314

    Bands and Channels 320

    Applications of a Single Trend 330

    Comparison of Major Trend Systems 336

    Techniques Using Two Trendlines 350

    Multiple Trends and Common Sense 356

    Comprehensive Studies 359

    Selecting the Right Trend Method and Speed 359

    Moving Average Sequences: Signal Progression 363

    Early Exits from a Trend 366

    Moving Average Projected Crossovers 366

    CHAPTER 9 Momentum and Oscillators 369

    Momentum 370

    Divergence Index 384

    Oscillators 385

    Double-Smoothed Momentum 404

    Velocity and Acceleration 412

    Hybrid Momentum Techniques 416

    Momentum Divergence 418

    Some Final Comments on Momentum 426

    CHAPTER 10 Seasonality and Calendar Patterns 427

    A Consistent Factor 428

    The Seasonal Pattern 429

    Popular Methods for Calculating Seasonality 430

    Seasonal Filters 456

    Seasonality and the Stock Market 478

    Common Sense and Seasonality 483

    CHAPTER 11 Cycle Analysis 485

    Cycle Basics 485

    Uncovering the Cycle 494

    Maximum Entropy 514

    Cycle Channel Index 520

    Short Cycle Indicator 521

    Phasing 523

    CHAPTER 12 Volume, Open Interest, and Breadth 527

    A Special Case for Futures Volume 527

    Variations from the Normal Patterns 529

    Standard Interpretation 531

    Volume Indicators 535

    Breadth Indicators 546

    Interpreting Volume and Breadth Systematically 554

    An Integrated Probability Model 558

    Intraday Volume Patterns 559

    Filtering Low Volume 562

    Market Facilitation Index 564

    CHAPTER 13 Spreads and Arbitrage 565

    Dynamics of Futures Intramarket Spreads 566

    Carrying Charges 567

    Spreads in Stocks 569

    Spread and Arbitrage Relationships 570

    Risk Reduction in Spreads 571

    Arbitrage 572

    The Carry Trade 596

    Changing Spread Relationships 600

    Intermarket Spreads 602

    CHAPTER 14 Behavioral Techniques 617

    Measuring the News 618

    Event Trading 623

    Commitment of Traders Report 635

    Opinion and Contrary Opinion 641

    Fibonacci and Human Behavior 648

    Elliott’s Wave Principle 651

    Price Target Constructions Using the Fibonacci Ratio 660

    Fischer’s Golden Section Compass System 662

    W. D. Gann—Time and Space 666

    Financial Astrology 671

    CHAPTER 15 Pattern Recognition 685

    Projecting Daily Highs and Lows 687

    Time of Day 689

    Opening Gaps 699

    Weekday, Weekend, and Reversal Patterns 711

    Computer-Based Pattern Recognition 732

    Artificial Intelligence Methods 735

    CHAPTER 16 Day Trading 737

    Impact of Transaction Costs 738

    Key Elements of Day Trading 744

    Trading Using Price Patterns 753

    Intraday Breakout Systems 759

    Intraday Volume Patterns 774

    Intraday Price Shocks 775

    CHAPTER 17 Adaptive Techniques 779

    Adaptive Trend Calculations 779

    Adaptive Variations 788

    Other Adaptive Momentum Calculations 793

    Adaptive Intraday Breakout System 796

    An Adaptive Process 797

    Considering Adaptive Methods 798

    CHAPTER 18 Price Distribution Systems 801

    Measuring Distribution 801

    Use of Price Distributions and Patterns to Anticipate Moves 805

    Distribution of Prices 811

    Steidlmayer’s Market Profile 822

    Using Daily Distributions to Identify Support and Resistance 830

    CHAPTER 19 Multiple Time Frames 833

    Tuning Two Time Frames to Work Together 833

    Elder’s Triple-Screen Trading System 835

    Robert Krausz’s Multiple Time Frames 838

    Martin Pring’s KST System 842

    CHAPTER 20 Advanced Techniques 845

    Measuring Volatility 845

    Using Volatility for Trading 856

    Trade Selection Using Volatility 861

    Liquidity 867

    Trends and Price Noise 868

    Trends and Interest Rate Carry 871

    Expert Systems 871

    Fuzzy Logic 875

    Fractals, Chaos, and Entropy 880

    Neural Networks 886

    Genetic Algorithms 895

    Replication of Hedge Funds 902

    CHAPTER 21 System Testing 905

    Expectations 907

    Identifying the Parameters 908

    Selecting the Test Data 910

    Testing Integrity 916

    Searching for the Best Result 919

    Visualizing and Interpreting Test Results 922

    Large-Scale Testing 932

    Refining the Strategy Rules 937

    Arriving at Valid Test Results 938

    Comparing the Results of Two Systems 946

    Profiting from the Worst Results 950

    Retesting for Changing Parameters 951

    Testing across a Wide Range of Markets 954

    Price Shocks 970

    Anatomy of an Optimization 972

    Summarizing Robustness 976

    CHAPTER 22 Practical Considerations 983

    Use and Abuse of the Computer 984

    Extreme Events 992

    Gambling Techniques—The Theory of Runs 1000

    Selective Trading 1011

    System Trade-Offs 1012

    Trading Limits and Disconnected Markets 1018

    Silver and NASDAQ—Too Good to Be True 1020

    Similarity of Systematic Trading Signals 1021

    CHAPTER 23 Risk Control 1027

    Mistaking Luck for Skill 1027

    Risk Aversion 1028

    Liquidity 1033

    Measuring Return and Risk 1034

    Leverage 1046

    Leverage Based on Exposure 1049

    Individual Trade Risk 1050

    Kaufman on Stops and Profit-Taking 1059

    Ranking of Markets for Selection 1062

    Probability of Success and Ruin 1072

    Entering a Position 1076

    Compounding a Position 1080

    Equity Trends 1085

    Investing and Reinvesting: Optimal f 1088

    Comparing Expected and Actual Results 1092

    CHAPTER 24 Diversification and Portfolio Allocation 1099

    Diversification 1100

    Changing Correlations 1105

    Types of Portfolio Models 1105

    Classic Portfolio Allocation Calculations 1107

    Finding Optimal Portfolio Allocation Using Excel’s Solver 1109

    Kaufman’s Genetic Algorithm Solution to Portfolio Allocation (GASP) 1114

    Volatility Stabilization 1142

    APPENDIX 1 Statistical Tables 1147

    APPENDIX 2 Matrix Solution to Linear Equations and Markov Chains 1151

    APPENDIX 3 Trigonometric Regression for Finding Cycles 1161

    Bibliography 1175

    About the Companion Website 1191

    Index 1193
     
  3. 贴出该书(Trading Systems and Methods)的目录为何?答非所问啊。 呵呵
     
  4. Trading Systems and Methods, + Website (Wiley Trading) by Perry J. Kaufman (Jan 29, 2013) 第五版,英文版(正版书价格大约为800元/本),现在电子书已经拿到,45元/份,完整,清晰度都有保证,可先睹为快,有需要的联系邮箱:xtrader@foxmail.com
     
  5. 我靠,共享给海友啊
     
  6. J.Y

    J.Y

    翻过老版,个人觉得书还是不错的,如果真如作者所说,那么新版还是值得一看的。
     
  7. 翻过?网上有共享吗
     
  8. 真诚的问下,这本书,到底如何
     
  9. 你下来自己看看吧 (真pdf版,非扫描版)

    下面是链接:

    http://uploaded.net/file/pieflw54
     
  10. 不可能呀,我试过的,难到他们屏避了中国大陆IP? 如果别人也遇到相同的问题我会上传到sina共享的。:)
     
  11. 那个地址可以下载了
     
  12. 看目录像大杂烩的样子。。
     
  13. 呵呵,竟然出现在itpub上
     
  14. 打不开
     
  15. 不错,不过象本字典。。。。或者说百科全书。当索引看了。
     
  16. 是讲交易系统的书吗?
     
  17. 下来看看,多谢。。。