任何品种，只要想清楚其中道理，用哲学地眼光去分析 确定地下底线 就是要大赌 大大赌！！！ 早赌早翻身 晚赌晚翻身 不赌永远翻不了身 只有奴隶到底 下辈子还是个奴隶 一个大男人 死都不怕 还怕什么呢 底线是最关键地 那几年熊市 俺告诉他们可转债有底线是100 已经破100了 就可以开赌 他们不听 嫌慢 俺一个人赌 将房子 其他什么地全压了出去 还向大机构贷款了几千万 就赌 怕个鸟 俺就要靠基数胜利 那可转债怎么能亏 全AAA级别地 俺买全是打9折地 还有利息拿 大盘就是跌到0点去 俺那些东西年限也就2--3年 有地只有1年 就是拿个利息 以及还俺100 也是赚地 还不赌？？？ 是他们自己愿意穷啊 愿意一辈子做奴隶啊 不愿意动一下 太懒地了 结果俺当然又胜利而归地 呵呵，卖不好 如果放长点 吓死你们 10倍都应该有 但那不是俺小脑子想地到地东西
转来的,冒昧的贴在这,这洋文看不懂,有懂的朋友译一下,好象还有段视频. http://v35.blog.sina.com.cn/chinamarketpredict 那人评价的398,跟大圣师傅很象哦 601398 工商银行: 今日大涨，可能涨停，近期8 然后9, 中期, 20.2, 长期, 65, 105, 225, 450. 601600 今日大涨，但不可能涨停，短期目标待定, 中期76不变, 长期目标 180. 600000 今日小涨，近期待定。 中期69 上证见顶了，两天的大跌是一定的。4782我又重新捡回来 我会于美国收盘后更新此贴。 Credit crises are answered with monetary easing by government monetary authorities globally. The Fed and all central banks provide liquidity in various ways as the crisis unfolds in their country or in the world. Let's list the crises over the past 20 years and see what the outcome of the liquidity pumping was. Did the liquidity injections save the world's economies from major recessions...or did it have the unintended consequence of creating a new series of bubbles? CRISIS CAN CREATE BIG OPPORTUNITY In 1990, the U.S. Savings & Loan crisis was followed by a recession.....creating a short bear market in the U.S. In 1990, Japan's property bubble was followed by a recession....creating a long bear market in Japan. In 2000, the U.S. tech stock collapse was followed by a recession....and created a bear market in the U.S. The 1987 Crash was not followed by a recession....the injection of global liquidity to stave off recession created a great buying opportunity; the last great buying opportunity in Japanese stocks before they would peak in 1990. From 1987, the Japanese market rose by almost 100% over the next three years, and many stocks rose 5 fold. The December 1994 Mexican currency crisis was not followed by a recession in U.S. It created a buying opportunity. Between 1995 and 2000 the S&P more than tripled and many stocks went up 6 fold. In 1998, the Russian debt default and Long Term Capital crisis was not followed by recession in U.S. It created a buying opportunity...the last buying opportunity of tech bubble before its peak in 2000. Many tech stocks ran up by absurd amounts before the tech crash of 2000-2002. Today, the expected outcome of the current credit crisis is a recession in U.S., but no worldwide recession. The liquidity being added, we believe may create the last great buying opportunity in commodities, and the developing world's stock markets before this bubble peaks some time in the 2010 to 2012 time frame. The liquidity created by all the central banks will flow to where the growth is strong, which is to the afore-mentioned markets. WE EXPECT A BIG RUN UP IN COMMODITIES AND FAST GROWING STOCK MARKETS What we know: A wave of liquidity is being unleashed. Real Estate and bonds have already had their bubbles (created by an unprecedented 25 plus year decline in long-term interest rates). The money being injected into the world economy will create inflation and the effects will be rising interest rates.... and big rises in the prices of commodities and some stocks (as people move to protect themselves from inflation). We expect the current monetary madness to end in tears....but not before the wave of money being injected into the world's economies leads to a huge rise in the prices of precious metals, other commodities, well-managed currencies and stocks in the fast growing parts of the world. By that we mean India, Hong Kong, China, emerging Asia and parts of Latin America and the countries which provide the raw materials for global growth like Brazil, Canada and Australia. REASONS TO BE BULLISH ON CHINA AND INDIA People do not believe the growth can continue in China and India. They think that slower growth in the U.S. will derail them. This creates a chance for people to be underinvested in these markets, and when they realize how strong profits are they will belatedly invest. GDP and corporate profits will grow rapidly in these two countries for the next two or three years at a minimum. Chinese investors will shift into the H shares (Chinese shares trading in Hong Kong) which are not overvalued. People want growth, and both of these countries have growth. We have good-sized positions in India and in Hong Kong (we buy our Chinese stocks in Hong Kong where they are much more reasonably valued than in China). In Hong Kong, the same stocks sell at a 40% discount to its China price in Hong Kong. CURRENCIES We are gratified that our currency theme has been rewarding. The currencies have gone up considerably versus the U.S. dollar, and we think the currencies could correct at any time. However, long-term, the U.S. dollar will continue to fall until corrections are made in our national economic priorities. Today, the Canadian dollar, Norwegian Krone and Euro are all at new highs versus the U.S. dollar, and the pound is rallying as well.
哇，菩萨恐怕真要来了啊 是你心诚吧 唉 可怜 穷地连房都没有 霉运应该到头了吧 你跟踪着看收盘怎么样 如果这样价格收盘 有希望上30天线地 唉，淘气好人啊，如果那时候能在30天线上弹起来，哪怕现在再跌回来 排列是大不同啊
我不是什么高手，更不是“线仙”。 但我这些年发现一个规律： 当次新股冲破前期高点时，从来没有马上停止下来大调整的， 后面都会有30%以上的空间。 看了很多新股了，好像还没有例外。 工商银行前期高点6.77 6.77 X 1.3=8.80 也就是说能到9块钱附近的位置，是个大概率时间。 当然我这仅从历史来讲的，属于小智小谋。对公司基本面的准确 把握才是大智大谋。