发一个测试及实际操作感慨

Discussion in 'TradeStation' started by wangtfu, May 3, 2013.

  1. 1、测试:
    Performance Summary: All Trades

    Total Net Profit $2,815,222.28 Open position P/L $22,990.44
    Gross Profit $4,900,476.63 Gross Loss ($2,085,254.35)

    Total # of trades 1,202 Percent profitable 42.10%
    Number winning trades 506 Number losing trades 696

    Largest winning trade $183,594.88 Largest losing trade ($25,949.56)
    Average winning trade $9,684.74 Average losing trade ($2,996.06)
    Ratio avg win/avg loss 3.23 Avg trade (win & loss) $2,342.12

    Max consec. Winners 14 Max consec. losers 21
    Avg # bars in winners 12 Avg # bars in losers 5

    Max intraday drawdown ($383,968.54)
    Profit Factor 2.35 Max # contracts held 65,000

    Performance Summary: Long Trades

    Total Net Profit $2,815,222.28 Open position P/L $22,990.44
    Gross Profit $4,900,476.63 Gross Loss ($2,085,254.35)

    Total # of trades 1,202 Percent profitable 42.10%
    Number winning trades 506 Number losing trades 696

    Largest winning trade $183,594.88 Largest losing trade ($25,949.56)
    Average winning trade $9,684.74 Average losing trade ($2,996.06)
    Ratio avg win/avg loss 3.23 Avg trade (win & loss) $2,342.12

    Max consec. Winners 14 Max consec. losers 21
    Avg # bars in winners 12 Avg # bars in losers 5

    Max intraday drawdown $0.00
    Profit Factor 2.35 Max # contracts held 65,000

    2、操作,按模型信号操作。近期20笔操作,亏惨了,资金回撤30%左右。
    我擦,交易还是很难。
    没有参数优化。

    希望各位老师指点,谢谢!
     
  2. 说得次数太多,自己都觉得烦了

    还是拿出来絮叨一下

    1、策略参数最好不要超过3个。
    2、最基础的压力测试是多周期,高级别的是多品种。如果基础测试都无法通过,就不要轻易入市
     
  3. 测试结果太好,使人不敢相信
     
  4. 1. Max consec. losers 21 > Max consec. Winner 14 顯示策列贏利能力差
    2. Max intraday drawdown ($383,968.54) / Total Net Profit $2,815,222.28 風險過大
    3. Total # of trades 1,202 交易次數多, 勝率低,心理壓力大.
    4.Profit Factor 2.35 2.35 在 profitable 42.10% 之下,顯示在依重順勢下的獲利,交易方法單一.

    結論:此系統肯定不能獲利.見諒!